The Biggest Loser

Tuesday’s American presidential election had more than the usual share of losers, starting with Kamala Harris and the American people. Mind you, given that Donald Trump won the popular vote, there are a lot of people who wouldn’t see it that way.

The American economy is probably a loser, if Trump follows through on his tariff hikes. Those will cause prices to go up

There are other countries that will lose under a Trump presidency, and not just economically. Ukraine must be worried about its future, given Trump’s ties with Russian president Vladimir Putin. And Taiwan probably sees the day of a Chinese invasion moving closer if Trump abandons them.

My nomination for the biggest immediate loser is the people of Canada. Trump’s victory pretty much dooms us to another year of Prime Minister Justin Trudeau.

Trudeau has record low polling numbers, and his own MPs have been pressuring him to quit. Nothing he does seems to change the narrative. Until now.

Trudeau is hoping he can convince voters that Conservative Party leader Pierre Poilievre is a Canadian Trump. He thinks that will be enough to propel him to a fourth mandate in 2025. (Trump isn’t very popular here.)

It could be a very effective strategy, if he can make it stick. But that is the big question. Will that strategy work?

Other than being leaders of conservative parties, Trump and Poilievre don’t have much in common. Poilievre knows how government works and can clearly articulate his policies. Polls have him leading by more than 20 points.

Trump has given Americans a textbook example of how to demonize your opponents. I’m sure Trudeau was watching closely.

The funny thing is, if Trudeau was looking for a Canadian version of Donald Trump, he could find one in the mirror. Not that he or any Liberal would be willing to admit that.

Both men are trust fund babies with an admiration for dictators Both see themselves and their actions as righteous, no matter what the evidence to the contrary. Both think only they can save their country. (I had a couple of other comparisons, but decided they weren’t completely fair to Trudeau and too kind to Trump, so I’ll end the list here.) Poilievre, whom I have spoken with maybe a half dozen times over the past 15 years , comes across as a normal person.

Without Trump to campaign against, Justin Trudeau might have resigned before the next election. Harris’s loss means he will probably stick around, hoping to pull off an upset by using an anti-Trump strategy.

I don’t see that working, but I have been wrong before. Maybe I’m wrong about another year of Justin Trudeau. Maybe he will retire early. I doubt it though.

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